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Posted by: zanshin,
2008-06-10 02:47 |
Open-Ended Issue
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An attack on Iran by USA and/or Israel is not feasible
An attack on Iran by USA and/or Israel is not feasible
Background and Context
Evaluation of this Open-Ended Issue
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Value |
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Desirability : |
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Importance : |
X-High |
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Volatility : |
X-High |
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Likelihood : |
High |
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Confidence : |
Low |
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Argument Tree
Vieuw in Silverlight
An attack on Iran by USA and/or Israel is not feasible -- NEW Sept. 18, 2008
The USA is not capable to carry out a full-scale air attack on Iran's nuclear infrastructure, much less to invade and occupy the country
>>The USA does not have the military resources for a war with Iran
>>The USA does not have the political support at home for a war with Iran
>>The USA does not have the agreement of allies abroad for a war with Iran
>>Israel cannot carry out an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities on its own
An Israeli strike would require the active co-operation of the US, it would be in effect a joint US-Israeli mission. Israeli F15 and F16 warplanes would not only have to fly and be refuelled in Iraqi airspace - controlled by the Americans - but the whole operation would require logistical support from US bases on the ground in Iraq. Support helicopters would need to be based in Iraq and rescue teams needed to evacuate any downed Israeli pilots would have to operate inside Iraq.
>>Iran’s friends in the region will never allow Iran to be attacked and will make every effort to maintain regional security because a new war would cause a crisis in every regional country.
-- According to Mostafa Mohammad Najjar, Iranian Defense Minster
>>An attack on Iran would alienate the Islamic world
>>An attack on Iran would increase terrorism globally
>>An attack on Iran would lead to a long war in the Middle East
>>
References
Work in Progress
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