Posted by: zanshin, 2006-05-01 12:00

Story

Scholars Predict 50 Million “Environmental Refugees” by 2010
Larry West, 2006-02-28 (Tuesday), about.com
Effects of Climate Change Eventually May Cause Hundreds of Millions to Migrate
Scholars are predicting that 50 million people worldwide will be displaced by 2010 because of rising sea levels, desertification, dried up aquifers, weather-induced flooding and other serious environmental changes. So says Andrew Simms, policy director of the New Economics Foundation in the United Kingdom and the author of a book titled, “Environmental Refugees: The Case for Recognition.”
In an interview with Steve Curwood, host of Living on Earth, an independent media program funded by listener contributions and institutions that support public service, Simms says that these people should be considered “environmental refugees” and given refugee status under international law.

No Aid Available to “Environmental Refugees”
According to the United Nations University (UNU), an international community scholars that work on pressing global problems, victims of political upheaval or violence have access through governments and international organizations to assistance such as financial grants, food, tools, shelter, schools and clinics, but “environmental refugees” receive no such aid because they are not yet recognized in world conventions.

The UNU says that environmental problems already have contributed to large permanent migrations and could eventually displace hundreds of millions of people. Meanwhile, Red Cross research shows more people are now displaced by environmental disasters than by war.

Environmental Persecution
Simms argues that because the homes of these displaced people are being gradually destroyed as a result of environmental policies pursued by industrialized nations, it amounts to “environmental persecution,” which makes them legitimate refugees deserving of legal protection.

Scholars at the United Nations University agree.

“There are well-founded fears that the number of people fleeing untenable environmental conditions may grow exponentially as the world experiences the effects of climate change and other phenomena,” says Janos Bogardi, director of UNU’s Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS). “This new category of ‘refugee’ needs to find a place in international agreements. We need to better anticipate support requirements, similar to those of people fleeing other unviable situations.”

Environmental Changes Causing Widespread Migration
Environment-related migration has been most acute in Sub-Saharan Africa, but also affects millions of people in Asia and India. Meanwhile, Europe and the United States are witnessing increasing pressure from victims of often mismanaged and deteriorating soil and water conditions in North Africa and Latin America.

Such migrations may grow dramatically in future:


Among many global problem sites, Sana'a, Yemen’s capital, has doubled its population on average every six years since 1972 and now stands at 900,000. The aquifer on which the city depends is falling by 6 meters a year, and may be exhausted by 2010, according to the World Bank.

In China, the Gobi desert expands more than 10,000 square kilometers per year, threatening many villages. Oxford-based expert Norman Myers says Morocco, Tunisia and Libya each lose over 1,000 square kilometers of productive land annually to desertification.

In Egypt, half of irrigated croplands suffer from salinization, while in Turkey 160,000 square kilometers of farmlands is affected by soil erosion.

In the United States, Louisiana now loses roughly 65 square kilometers per year to erosion by the sea, while in Alaska 213 communities are threatened by tides that creep roughly 3 meters further inland each year.

The low-lying Pacific island state of Tuvalu has struck an agreement with New Zealand to accept its 11,600 citizens in the event rising sea levels swamp the country.

By one rough estimate, as many as 100 million people worldwide live in areas below sea level and/or are subject to storm surge.
“Around the world, vulnerability is on the increase due to the rapid development of megacities in coastal areas,” says Dr. Tony Oliver-Smith, a Florida professor who is a UNU-EHS Munich Re Foundation chair holder designate for 2007-08. “Many cities are overwhelmed, incapable of handling with any degree of effectiveness the demands of a burgeoning number of people, many of whom take up shelter in flimsy shanties.

“Combine this trend with rising sea levels and the growing number and intensity of storms and it is the recipe for a disaster-in-waiting, with enormous potential to create waves of environment-driven migration.”

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Africa,   Alaska,   Asia,   Britain,   China,   Climate Change,   Desertification,   Egypt,   Environment,   Europe,   India,   KGI Water,   Libya,   Morocco,   New Zealand,   Tunisia,   Turkey,   United Nations,   USA,   World Bank,  

Related statements

Date  
2006-02 About 50 million people worldwide will be displaced by 2010 because of rising sea levels, desertification, dried up aquifers, weather-induced flooding and other serious environmental changes.
According to Andrew Simms, policy director of the New Economics Foundation in the United Kingdom and the author of a book titled, Environmental Refugees: The Case for Recognition
2006 “Around the world, vulnerability is on the increase due to the rapid development of megacities in coastal areas.
Many cities are overwhelmed, incapable of handling with any degree of effectiveness the demands of a burgeoning number of people, many of whom take up shelter in flimsy shanties.
Combine this trend with rising sea levels and the growing number and intensity of storms and it is the recipe for a disaster-in-waiting, with enormous potential to create waves of environment-driven migration.”
-- Dr. Tony Oliver-Smith, a Florida professor who is a UNU-EHS Munich Re Foundation chair holder designate for 2007-08.
2006 Environmental problems have contributed to large permanent migrations and could eventually displace hundreds of millions of people.
-- According to the United Nations University (UNU), an international community scholars that work on pressing global problems
2006 Victims of political upheaval or violence have access through governments and international organizations to assistance such as financial grants, food, tools, shelter, schools and clinics, but “environmental refugees” receive no such aid because they are not yet recognized in world conventions.
-- According to the United Nations University (UNU), an international community scholars that work on pressing global problems

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2009-01-15The people crunch -- Global migration and the downturn
2008-12-29The World Economic Crisis: A Marxist Analysis
2007-05-03Timeline: Al-Qaeda
2007-05-04The world in 2020
2007-05-04Five events that changed the world in 2006
2007-05-02President Bush Meets with EU Leaders -- 2007 U.S.-EU Summit
2007-05-01Can Europe Age Gracefully? - Part II
2007-05-03National Security Briefing == Presented to then-Governor Bush
2007-04-25Analysis: Merkel's Africa, EU pledges
2007-04-13Analysis: Al-Qaida in the Maghreb
2007-04-13India, China and the Asian axis of oil
2007-03-17Live and let die
2007-03-18Between Europe And The Middle East: The Transformation Of Turkish Policy
2007-03-31'Europe is increasingly fading away'
2007-03-30US 'no longer technology king'
2007-03-30The Global Information Technology Report -- Executive Summary
2007-04-04The Next World Order
2007-03-14Sweden: Restrictive Immigration Policy and Multiculturalism
2007-03-14The new Seven Sisters: oil and gas giants dwarf western rivals
2007-03-15Highbrow Tribalism
2007-03-04Enlightenment fundamentalism or racism of the anti-racists?
2007-03-04Taking the fight to Islam
2007-03-05Lets Not Forget: Bush Planned Iraq 'Regime Change' Before Becoming President
2007-03-03The Future of Shari'a -- An interview with Muslim reformer Abdullahi an-Na'im
2007-03-06Rebellious Diplomat Finds Work as Envoy of the Voiceless
2007-02-19Chomsky on Iran, Iraq, and the Rest of the World
2007-02-21IPOs Shun U.S. Exchanges While Wall Street Collects Record Fees
2007-02-07Black Man's History
2007-02-18After Neoconservatism
2006-12-18“Osama’s Dream”
2006-12-31The Dutch news in 2006 - Part II
2007-01-07New Ripples And Responses To China’s Water Woes
2007-02-01Chirac Unfazed by Nuclear Iran, Then Backtracks
2007-02-04Al Gore Is a Greenhouse Gasbag
2007-01-27Interview with Stephen Grey
2006-05-01Foiled in the U.S., Singapore Port Operator Seeks to Invest Elsewhere
2006-05-01EU backs new UN human rights council