Posted by: zanshin, 2008-07-09 11:36

Story

Who's Planning Our Next War?
Patrick J. Buchanan, 2008-06-27 (Friday), AntiWar
Of the Axis-of-Evil nations named in his State of the Union in 2002, President Bush has often said, "The United States will not permit the world's most dangerous regimes to threaten us with the world's most destructive weapons."

He failed with North Korea. Will he accept failure in Iran, though there is no hard evidence Iran has an active nuclear weapons program?

William Kristol of The Weekly Standard said Sunday a U.S. attack on Iran after the election is more likely should Barack Obama win. Presumably, Bush would trust John McCain to keep Iran nuclear free.

Yet, to start a third war in the Middle East against a nation three times as large as Iraq, and leave it to a new president to fight, would be a daylight hijacking of the congressional war power and a criminally irresponsible act. For Congress alone has the power to authorize war.

Yet Israel is even today pushing Bush into a pre-emptive war with a naked threat to attack Iran itself should Bush refuse the cup.

In April, Israel held a five-day civil defense drill. In June, Israel sent 100 F-15s and F-16s, with refueling tankers and helicopters to pick up downed pilots, toward Greece in a simulated attack, a dress rehearsal for war. The planes flew 1,400 kilometers, the distance to Iran's uranium enrichment facility at Natanz.

Ehud Olmert came home from a June meeting with Bush to tell Israelis: "We reached agreement on the need to take care of the Iranian threat. ... I left with a lot less question marks regarding the means, the timetable restrictions and American resoluteness. ...

"George Bush understands the severity of the Iranian threat and the need to vanquish it, and intends to act on the matter before the end of his term. ... The Iranian problem requires urgent attention, and I see no reason to delay this just because there will be a new president in the White House seven and a half months from now."

If Bush is discussing war on Iran with Ehud Olmert, why is he not discussing it with Congress or the nation?

On June 6, Deputy Prime Minister Shaul Mofaz threatened, "If Iran continues its nuclear weapons program, we will attack it." The price of oil shot up 9 percent.

Is Israel bluffing — or planning to attack Iran if America balks?

Previous air strikes on the PLO command in Tunis, on the Osirak reactor in Iraq and on the presumed nuclear reactor site in Syria last September give Israel a high degree of credibility.

Still, attacking Iran would be no piece of cake.

Israel lacks the stealth and cruise-missile capacity to degrade Iran's air defenses systematically and no longer has the element of surprise.
Israeli planes and pilots would likely be lost.

Israel also lacks the ability to stay over the target or conduct follow-up strikes. The U.S. Air Force bombed Iraq for five weeks with hundreds of daily runs in 1991 before Gen. Schwarzkopf moved.

Moreover, if Iran has achieved the capacity to enrich uranium, she has surely moved centrifuges to parts of the country that Israel cannot reach — and can probably replicate anything lost.

Israel would also have to over-fly Turkey, or Syria and U.S.-occupied Iraq, or Saudi Arabia to reach Natanz. Turks, Syrians and Saudis would deny Israel permission and might resist. For the U.S. military to let Israel over-fly Iraq would make us an accomplice. How would that sit with the Europeans who are supporting our sanctions on Iran and want the nuclear issue settled diplomatically?

And who can predict with certitude how Iran would respond?

Would Iran attack Israel with rockets, inviting retaliation with Jericho and cruise missiles from Israeli submarines? Would she close the Gulf with suicide-boat attacks on tankers and U.S. warships?

With oil at $135 a barrel, Israeli air strikes on Iran would seem to ensure a 2,000-point drop in the Dow and a world recession.

What would Hamas, Hezbollah and Syria do? All three are now in indirect negotiations with Israel. U.S. forces in Afghanistan and Iraq could be made by Iran to pay a high price in blood that could force the United States to initiate its own air war in retaliation, and to finish a war Israel had begun. But a U.S. war on Iran is not a decision Bush can outsource to Ehud Olmert.

Tuesday, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Adm. Michael Mullins left for Israel. CBS News cited U.S. officials as conceding the trip comes "just as the Israelis are mounting a full court press to get the Bush administration to strike Iran's nuclear complex."

Vice President Cheney is said to favor U.S. strikes. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates and Mullins are said to be opposed.

Moving through Congress, powered by the Israeli lobby, is House Resolution 362, which demands that President Bush impose a U.S. blockade of Iran, an act of war.

Is it not time the American people were consulted on the next war that is being planned for us?

To find out more about Patrick Buchanan, and read features by other Creators Syndicate writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate web page at www.creators.com.

COPYRIGHT 2008 CREATORS SYNDICATE INC.

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Tags

Afghanistan,   Bill Kristol,   Bush,   Cheney,   Ehud Olmert,   GloSec,   Greece,   Hamas,   Hezbollah,   Iran,   Iraq,   Israel,   John Bolton,   John Mccain,   Lebanon,   Mediterranean,   military,   North Korea,   Nuclear Weapons,   Obama,   Oil,   Open-Ended Issues,   Pat Buchanan,   PLO,   Politics,   Saudi Arabia,   Shaul Mofaz,   Syria,   Turkey,   Uranium,   USA,   WMD,  

Related statements

Date  
2008-06-06 “If Iran continues with its program for developing nuclear weapons, we will attack.”
[...]
“Attacking Iran, in order to stop its nuclear plans, will be unavoidable.”
-- Shaul Mofaz, deputy prime minister, in an interview with the Israeli newspaper Yediot Aharonot
2008-06-05 Israel carried out a large military exercise
More than 100 Israeli F-16 and F-15 fighters took part in the maneuvers over the eastern Mediterranean and Greece in the first week of June.

The exercise also included Israeli helicopters that could be used to rescue downed pilots.

The exercise appeared to be an effort to focus on long-range strikes.
The helicopters and refueling tankers flew more than 900 miles.

nb. 900 miles is about the distance between Israel and Iran’s uranium enrichment plant at Natanz.
2008-01-17 Israel carried out a missile test
Israel has carried out tests to improve anti-missile systems to intercept both short- and medium-range rockets, including Katyusha rockets used by Hezbollah guerrillas in Lebanon and missiles in Iran's arsenal.
2007-10-07 Washington Post columnist David Ignatius, who enjoys access to top administration officials, quoted an unnamed official as providing the official explanation for the Israeli attack as targeting "nuclear materials supplied to Syria by North Korea."

"[T]he message to Iran is clear: America and Israel can identify nuclear targets and penetrate air defenses to destroy them."
2007-09-18 "We're talking about a clear message to Iran – Israel has the right to self-defense – and that includes offensive operations against WMD facilities that pose a threat to Israel. The United States would justify such attacks."
-- John Bolton, former United Nations ambassador
2007-09-17 Six hundred Iranian Shihab-3 missiles are pointed at targets throughout Israel, and will be launched if either Iran or Syria are attacked.
Dozens of locations throughout Iraq, which are being used by the US Army, have also been targeted.
-- Iranian website Assar Iran, affiliated with the regime reported
If Iran continues its nuclear weapons program, Israel will attack it
Israel is preparing for an attack on cq a war with Iran
If Israel attacks Iran, USA will attack Iran
Israel is pushing Bush into a pre-emptive war with Iran
In the USA, US Congress alone has the power to authorize war.
Israel will attack Iran

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2008-09-02Can The War On Terror Be Won? -- How To Fight The Right War
2008-09-08U.S. losing ground, sway to Iran
2008-09-13TERRORISM, HUMAN RIGHTS, SOCIAL JUSTICE, FREEDOM AND DEMOCRACY: SOME CONSIDERATIONS FOR THE LEGAL AND JUSTICE PROFESSIONALS OF THE ‘COALITION OF THE WILLING’
2008-08-11Will Iran Enter the Iraq War?
2008-08-15The Lobby Like No Other -- Wants a War Like No Other
2008-08-09Chasing a Mirage
2008-08-07Brzezinski’s bunker
2008-08-03Attacking Iran? It will not happen
2008-07-28More U-turns, please
2008-07-28A lucky man
2008-07-28The Geopolitics of Iran: Holding the Center of a Mountain Fortress
2008-07-22For Neocons, Iran Aim Is Still Regime Change
2008-07-22Realists Urge Bush to Drop Iran Precondition
2008-07-20Nine Reasons to Investigate War Crimes Now
2008-06-29Indictment and Trial of Bush and Cheney
2008-06-25HOW HEZBOLLAH DEFEATED ISRAEL -- PART 3: The political
2008-06-25Samson's Fate
2008-06-24Chomsky Speaks -- On Iraq, Iran and Norman Finkelstein
2008-06-08The Operator: The Double Life of a Military Strategist
2008-06-08Book Reveals Details of Iran’s Diplomatic Outreach to Israel
2008-06-08Approaching an Iranian winter
2008-06-06Between the Rule of Power and the Power of Rule: In Search of an Effective World Order
2008-05-31The U.S. National Intelligence Estimate on Iran and Its Aftermath: A Roundtable of Israeli Experts
2008-05-19Walker's World: Bush with the pharaohs
2008-05-19Egypt: On the Brink of Revolution?
2009-07-05'This Week' Transcript: EXCLUSIVE: Vice President Joe Biden
2009-07-22Street Fighting Man
2009-05-18Arab Perspectives on Bush's Iraq plan -- Q&A with Jamal Dajani
2009-05-10Country Reports on Terrorism 2008 -- Chapter 4: The Global Challenge of WMD Terrorism
2009-06-17The narrow strategic thinking of pro-Ahmadinejad Israelis
2009-02-02Freedom Beats A Global Retreat
2009-01-19This war on terrorism is bogus
2009-03-15Squaring the Pentagon
2008-11-10Syrians stare terror in the face
2008-11-11The Case for Restraint -- Francis Fukuyama responds
2008-11-11The Case for Restraint -- Ruth Wedgwood responds
2008-11-12Turkey volunteers to mediate U.S.-Iran talks
2008-11-26Understanding the Beijing Consensus
2008-11-27Defense establishment paper: Golan for Syria peace, plan for Iran strike
2008-12-29Washington bears guilt for Gaza war crimes
2008-12-25India's Reckless Road to Washington -- Through Tel Aviv
2009-01-01Memo for Obama
2009-01-11An inside story of how the US magnified Palestinian suffering
2008-12-06Slow-Motion Genocide in Occupied Palestine
2008-12-20Barak Urges U.S. to Focus on Iran Nuclear Threat
2007-02-13"We Feel We Have a Responsibility to the World"
2007-02-20FT interview: Mohamed ElBaradei
2007-02-19Hating America
2007-03-03Standing His Ground
2007-03-05Not in our name
2007-03-14Sweden: Restrictive Immigration Policy and Multiculturalism
2007-01-16Surge and Mirrors - What Bush Really Said
2007-01-23Stop the Next War `- Before it starts. Support H. J. Resolution 14
2007-01-23The Committee for the Liberation of Iraq: PR Spinning the Bush Doctrine
2007-01-25Make War Your Friend, Part I
2007-04-10Downsizing -- WHAT THE ‘SURGE’ REALLY MEANS
2007-04-10Cheney Says Grave Threats Require Pre-emptive Action
2007-04-10Things to Come
2007-04-10How to Get Out of Iraq
2007-04-12A Conversation With Vladimir Bukovsky