Tag: NIE

Topic

National Intelligence Estimate

External Links: Wikipedia

Statements

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Date 
2007-12-23 "The release of the National Intelligence Estimate… clearly demonstrates that our nation's differences with Iran can and must be resolved diplomatically.
We urge you to build upon the progress made by our own intelligence agencies' positive assessment of Iran's responsiveness to diplomacy."
[ ... ]
"It is time to begin direct, unconditional, and comprehensive negotiations with Iran."
-- Peter Welch, Democrat House Representative from Vermont, in a letter to United States president George W. Bush
2007-12-03 "Iran probably would be technically capable of producing enough HEU for a weapon sometime during the 2010-2015 time frame."
-- USA NIE
2007-12-03 In fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program and such activity had not restarted as of mid-2007.
-- According to USA National Intelligence Estimate (NIE)
2007-10-17 "I believe that the Iranian -- if Iran had a nuclear weapon, it would be a dangerous threat to world peace.
[ ... ]
So I've told people that if you're interested in avoiding World War III, it seems like you ought to be interested in preventing them from have the knowledge necessary to make a nuclear weapon. I take the threat of Iran with a nuclear weapon very seriously."
-- George W. Bush, Press Conference by the President
2007-08-23 A change in the Tehran regime appears unlikely any time soon despite growing public anger over the country's economic woes.
-- draft report National Intelligence Estimate on Iran
2007-08 In the United States, the National Intelligence Office informed President Bush that Iran may have halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003 but yet there are some details and data to be evaluated before the final conclusion.
2007-07-17 “Iran Is Found To Be a Lair of Al Qaeda.”
In this sensational story published by Eli Lake, a journalist and opinion writer at the neoconservative New York Sun, Lake claimed that the National Intelligence Estimate judged that one of two senior al-Qaeda leadership councils “meets regularly in eastern Iran.”

Lake reported, “there is little disagreement that a branch of al Qaeda’s leadership operates in Iran, [but] the intelligence community diverges on the extent to which the hosting of the senior leaders represents a policy of the regime in Tehran or the rogue actions of Iran’s Quds Force, the terrorist support units that report directly to Iran’s supreme leader.”
2006-04 “The radicalisation process is occurring more quickly, more widely and more anonymously in the internet age, raising the likelihood of surprise attacks by unknown groups whose members and supporters may be difficult to pinpoint.”
-- America's National Intelligence Estimate in April 2006
2002-10 "We judge that Iraq has continued its weapons of mass destruction (WMD) programs in defiance of UN resolutions and restrictions. Baghdad has chemical and biological weapons as well as missiles with ranges in excess of UN restrictions; if left unchecked, it probably will have a nuclear weapon during this decade."
-- US Intelligence Community, NIE on WMD in Iraq
2002-10 It says "a foreign government service reported that as of early 2001, Niger planned to send several tons of pure uranium (probably yellowcake) to Iraq," according to a July 11, 2003, statement from Tenet. It also states: "We do not know the status of this arrangement." Much later in the text, State Department researchers call the allegations "highly dubious."

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